Witte_Commercial_Policy
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What did Witte’s Commercial Policy of the 1890s aim to do? Was it a Success?

During the 1890s Russia experienced an enormous amount of industrial growth, in this time a huge industrial infrastructure was created, and Russia became recognised as a powerful international trading force.  Count Sergei Witte served as the Russian Minister for Finance between 1892 and 1903 and is seen as the chief architect of the economic conditions that allowed the nation to achieve this.  In order for Russia to ‘Catch-Up’ with those that had already industrialised, Witte appears to have implemented the theories of Friedrich List.   These teachings taught that if you sacrificed living standards in the short term, this would allow the establishment of economic benefits in the long term.  Thus the commercial policies that Witte employed included high taxation, the establishment of trade tariffs, acquiring large foreign loans, the introduction of the Gold Standard, and huge amounts of fiscal spending in areas such as the railways.  It was believed this programme of capital accumulation, and investment in an industrial infrastructure, would make existing industries more efficient, and replace an entrepreneurial middle class that Russia appeared to lack. Thus Witte’s commercial policies would attract capital, knowledge, skills, and technology; and with economic power would come political power on the world stage.  In this paper I intend to highlight these policies in greater detail, identify their desired effect, and assess whether they were successful at the time.  However what I must also mention is the argument that suggests Witte primarily engaged in the promoting of the policies of his predecessors, and by the end of his ministry the Russian economy was faltering.  Thus does Witte deserve his place in Economic history, or is the success of Russia at this time merely an illusion that demonstrates how backward the country was in relation to the Industrial world?

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The first aspect of Witte’s commercial policy that must be addressed is that of trade tariffs, as this was one of the first problems addressed during his Ministry.  In a report to the Tsar Nicholas II the Minister of Finance accepted that there were “very weighty arguments against the protectionist system and high tariffs” but as List taught this was a sacrifice that would have to be made by the peoples of Russia for the good of the nation.  In fact this was a system that was already being employed by Witte’s predecessor Vyshnegradski, and therefore it was easy for Witte to “favour a system already existing…. to which the country’s economy [was] already adapted’.   However Witte did make changes to this policy and extended its influence further, this was potentially costly though.  This was because in previous years Germany had been exporting large amounts of industrial products duty free into Russia, when Witte entered office he imposed duties on iron, steel, and their manufacturers.  He believed “free trade did not permit our industry to develop calmly”.   This displeased Germany who threatened tariffs on Russian agriculture and raw materials; but Witte claimed Germany had long before been extracting duties on agricultural goods. What ensued was an “extremely bitter tariff war” in which Germany and Russia virtually ceased mercantile relations and set-up minimum and maximum tariff scales against one another.  The Imperial Council had grown nervous at the prospect of a breakdown in diplomatic ties between the two powers, and forecast military action.  However Witte maintained his nerve and with the support of the Tsar his debut on to the stage of world politics was an eventual success as Germany agreed to his demands.  In fact with an agreement for both countries to pay the minimum trade tariffs this commercial treaty proved successful and formed the basis for many more.  Russia had proved that she did not want to be treated like a colony in relation to the other Industrial powers, exporting high volumes of cheap grain in order to pay expensive prices for industrial goods.  As Witte said, “Russia is an independent and strong power” protectionism was seen as an act of economic independence.  However Russian production could still not fulfil domestic demand, and so consumers had to buy foreign goods, thus protectionism also had the benefit of providing the government with more capital.
            The population was not just hit by high tariffs on goods imported though; there were also high domestic taxes to pay.  Witte’s policies were thus oppressive on both the rural and town population, as compared with the industrial and commercial groups.  However for Witte high tariffs and high taxation went hand in hand if the country was to accumulate the vast amounts of capital they needed. Russia did not just need to industrialise, the country needed to industrialise fast.  Therefore indirect taxes were installed on household goods like kerosene, matches, sugar, and salt.  By 1900 5/6 of all taxes raised were taken from essential household items like these, sugar duties had raised 100 percent, and kerosene by 50 percent.   The accumulation of these taxes can be seen in Table 1, and demonstrates that these taxes overtook redemption payments as a source of revenue for the government.  Witte also introduced a state spirit monopoly, however this was done under the request of Tsar Alexander III who wanted to see high amounts of drinking curbed.  The production and sale of vodka and other alcoholic products thus came entirely under state control.  Whether the policy had its desired effect or not is debateable as it proved to be one of Russia greatest revenues, and became one of Russia’s greatest industries.  Thus with Witte implementing high tariffs and taxation more could be invested in industry, however there were also other ways of obtaining money that Witte exploited.
            Foreign loans meant that Industrialisation would be paid for by someone else, Witte borrowed as much as he could.  However in order to obtain as much as possible Russia had to make itself appear to be a good investment with a stable economy, hence it became a primary concern of Witte to stabilize national credit.  The solution to this was seen as the Gold Standard and it was implemented in 1897.  Witte himself believed “This measure definitely established Russia’s credit and put her financially on an equal footing with the European powers”.   Infact he believed without the Gold Standard the Russian economy would have collapsed during the Japanese war. In order to create the conditions for entry in to this monetary system state debt had to be increased and there was the amortization of the debts of the Imperial bank.  However it does appear that entering the Gold Standard was not a new idea enforced by Witte, his predecessors Bunge and Vyshnegradski had both prepared the country’s finances for its introduction.  Witte simply had to elaborate upon the reform, although he did have to overcome a lot of criticism and anti Gold Standard thought, and there was also pressure from France to join their Bimetal-Standard.  Nevertheless, again on the international scene Witte held his nerve and chose the best route for Russia.  In having the Bill passed Witte came up against fierce competition in 1896 but with the support of the Tsar it was installed in 1897.  Witte himself goes as far as to admit, “It may truly be said that Russia owes the Gold Standard solely to Nicholas II”.   The Gold standard made the rouble easier to convert for foreign investors, and made international transactions easier.  In Table II this foreign investment in Russia can be seen to be increasing sizeably in to the 1900s and beyond, French investment increases from 67million roubles in 1890 to 226million by 1900.  Thus the success of this policy is easily established, Witte wanted more foreign money and he got it, he cleverly had someone else pay for industrialisation in Russia.
 With Witte obtaining so much capital it could be spread across improving growth and expansion in Russia, but as Witte stated, “It is necessary not only to create industries but to force industry to become prosperous”.   This demonstrated a different objective Witte felt this money achieved, this was that with each new wave of foreign capital and the state acting as competition to industry; this would force Russian capitalists to seek compensation in technical improvements, which in turn would lead to price reductions.  In total it is believed Russia secured several billion roubles of foreign capital, in his memoirs Witte claimed he secured 3 billion roubles.   Table III shows that this money came from the major industrial countries like, Germany, France, the USA and UK, and between 1890 and 1900 it increases enormously.  Whereas there was criticism about the level of this borrowing amongst his contemporaries the Minister of finance believed it necessary to industrialise and would have borrowed more if it were possible.  With this money Russian industry was able to grow, infact the economy grew incredibly fast, during the 1890s this rose as high as 8 percent, making her the fastest growing economy at this time in the world, this can be seen in Table IV.  Industry was facilitated by the establishment of state investment especially in areas such as the railways, one of the best examples of this was the Trans-Siberian Railway made possible by French banking interests.  Railways became a big part of the capital spending in Russia, it stimulated the iron and steel industries aswell as their manufacturers and allowed better communication and mobility of goods in the nation.  Between 1860 and 1900 railway mileage increased by approximately 2300 percent, see Table V.  Money was also spent on schooling of the future industrialists and commercial schools were established.  This would mean that aswell as putting the facilities in place for industry; Russia would also have a new breed of industrialist who could take advantage of the situation. Banking was also another area of importance and the state bank funded private banks and joint stock companies giving the population confidence, and encouraging them to pay their profits in to an account.

However although we can talk about these measures that Witte implemented and whether they successfully appeared to do as they were intended, in hindsight were they really the best policies for the situation?  With Russia so dependent on foreign investment when a world financial crisis hit in 1899, Russia’s economy was dangerously exposed, and this lingered on in to the 20th century.  With a void of private capital and entrepreneurship the momentum of the revolution could not be maintained.  Mehlinger and Thompson described the ‘Witte System’ as “an experiment in state capitalism” it was an alternative to the traditional form of dependence on an entrepreneurial middle class funded by private capital.  This made the economy fragile and heavily dependant on the state, when state investment fell there was a gap left.  In 1900 when the state production of railways in Asia ended and orders of iron fell 10%, the consequence was that the industry stagnated.  Alexander Gerschenkron believes that the states attempts to foster growth had further retarded the country, and internal demand especially.   Although Russia had been growing incredibly fast and rivalling the industrial powers in this area, it was not a natural growth, it was paid for with foreign money, and the state.  These growth levels do more to demonstrate Russia’s backwardness than prove her advancement.  Although railways increased 2300 percent between 1860 and 1900 they had started at an incredibly low level, and if we look at Russian Gross Domestic Product in Table VI per head she has the poorest figures.  By 1905 Russia was in the grips of revolution and fighting a loosing war, the fact of the matter was that Russia was still a peasant economy.  Thus had ‘Wittes system’ really been successful if only a few years after his time in office Russia was experiencing so many problems?  Witte had ignored the peasants and had taxed them hard; this was a social reaction that his successors had to deal with.  Milward and Saul believe that maybe if he had done something to help the peasants the resulting 1905 revolution may not have ensued.
Another argument that is important to note is whether the policies Witte implemented were unique to his rule, or would they have happened anyway.  Vyshnegradski had already implemented the first measure for creating a rail network, a stable currency, and had been establishing export surpluses, and Bung had also followed a similar route.  Meanwhile during his rule it appears the Tsars also had a lot of involvement, thus with no real radical changes, Witte appears to have continued towards a common goal that those before him had started.  In fact Rogger argues his tactics were often unneeded and harsh, and believes that rather than tax the peoples for essential items he could have deferred the taxes to other areas like income tax, higher death duties, a higher tax on luxury items, and on foreign travel.    Witte’s policies were pragmatic and completely obsessed with monetary needs, not social.  Maybe if he had still been in office at this time he would have seen the reaction amongst the people and changed tactics.  The fact of the matter was that after 1905 the Russia economy had to be reorganised

 

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